操作节奏建议当前板块拥挤度呈科技内部修复、通信设备与新能源降温的分化格局,房地产在短线高点后回落,融资余额仍处中低位,成交额冲高后回到区间低位。操作上宜控制追高,优先观察通信、算力和半导体设备能否在外围利率与油价压力下获得独立承接,采取分批低吸、冲高兑现和量能确认相结合的节奏,等待融资与成交同步改善后再提高仓位。
最近 20 日板块涨跌颜色深浅表示当日涨跌幅,板块按最新排名排列;当前领涨:中证煤炭,市场情绪:情绪偏弱上涨下跌板块 / 交易日#1中证煤炭#2中证银行#3红利指数#4机器人#5中证消费中证畜牧建筑材料稀土产业中证酒中证旅游证券公司电网设备人工智能中证农业细分化工新能电池中证医疗中证新能源半导体材料设备科创芯片房地产光伏产业通信设备消费电子有色金属08-2808-3109-0109-0209-0309-0409-0709-0809-0909-1009-1109-1409-1509-1609-1709-1809-2109-2209-2309-24+0.51%+2.25%-2.41%-3.08%-0.22%-0.16%-2.25%+2.38%+3.15%-1.41%-2.07%-1.61%-0.12%-0.21%-0.82%-0.83%+2.68%+0.73%-2.16%+0.32%-0.51%+1.67%+1.88%+0.05%-0.50%+0.90%-1.46%+0.37%+0.19%+1.52%-0.46%+0.83%-1.33%-0.67%-0.30%-0.37%+0.47%-0.10%-0.44%+0.31%+0.15%+0.95%-0.23%-1.48%+0.05%+0.12%-1.45%+1.59%+1.56%-0.57%-1.76%-0.36%-0.55%-0.61%-0.57%-0.39%+1.45%-0.09%-0.87%+0.04%-1.19%+2.21%-1.14%-1.81%+0.81%-1.80%+2.07%-0.74%-0.86%-1.63%-1.60%+0.40%-0.89%+0.49%+0.55%+1.97%+0.05%+0.03%-0.71%-1.03%+0.66%-0.72%+1.15%-0.85%-0.30%+2.65%-0.27%+0.00%-0.56%-1.80%-1.01%-0.21%-0.57%-0.83%+0.09%+0.43%+0.88%+0.01%-0.27%-1.46%+1.15%+0.05%+1.46%-1.45%-0.99%+4.60%+0.57%+0.41%-0.12%-2.32%-1.68%-0.85%-0.50%-1.66%+0.04%+0.02%+1.56%-0.70%-1.48%-1.59%+1.13%-1.78%+0.55%-1.46%+0.32%+0.65%-0.25%+0.91%-0.65%-0.84%-2.45%+0.16%-1.55%+0.15%-0.17%+0.96%+2.38%-1.02%+0.69%-1.68%-0.55%+0.20%-1.69%-2.04%+0.59%-1.85%+0.90%-0.15%+0.28%-0.99%-2.00%+0.34%-0.16%+1.34%-1.43%+1.13%+1.13%-0.18%-1.00%-1.72%+0.16%-0.94%+2.08%-1.29%-0.41%+3.08%-0.38%-0.24%-1.14%-1.96%-1.65%+0.01%-0.43%-0.13%-0.26%+0.75%+1.24%-0.07%-0.04%-1.74%+0.92%-1.08%+1.24%-0.57%-0.02%+1.26%+1.07%+0.36%-0.72%-0.81%-2.50%-0.68%-2.25%-0.59%+0.29%+1.30%+1.60%-0.72%-0.17%-1.82%-0.20%+0.16%+0.61%-2.10%+0.86%+0.65%-1.38%-0.52%-0.19%+0.79%-3.07%-0.43%-0.53%+0.52%-1.06%+1.29%+1.12%+0.26%-0.50%-1.88%-1.18%-0.33%-1.00%-0.68%+0.42%-0.42%+0.54%-0.62%+1.83%-1.73%-0.14%-0.65%-0.44%+1.16%+0.08%+1.34%+1.50%-0.71%-1.12%-1.89%-1.11%+2.79%-0.55%-1.82%-0.47%-1.55%+2.76%-1.42%-0.53%-1.15%-0.14%-1.87%+0.11%+3.35%-0.46%+2.75%+1.07%+1.59%-0.78%-1.99%+1.32%-0.44%+1.81%-2.18%-0.25%+3.47%+0.31%+1.37%-0.02%-2.66%-2.12%-1.26%-0.99%-1.08%+0.35%+0.12%+1.67%-0.58%-1.10%-2.18%+2.03%-0.48%-1.05%-2.50%+0.96%-1.08%-0.98%+1.88%+0.68%-1.81%-3.49%-0.24%-0.41%+0.43%-0.96%+0.69%+1.02%-0.68%+0.30%-2.27%-0.21%-1.51%-1.60%-2.53%+0.72%-1.29%+0.55%-0.93%+0.14%-1.23%-1.37%+1.13%-1.35%-0.07%+0.05%+1.15%+0.17%+0.49%-0.64%-2.27%-1.23%-0.57%+0.23%-0.81%+0.15%-0.25%-0.38%+1.36%-1.40%-0.92%-1.77%+2.04%-0.40%+0.56%+0.45%+0.82%+2.63%-0.01%+0.28%-2.28%-0.30%-1.23%-1.53%-2.17%+0.27%-0.99%+1.01%-0.52%+0.12%-0.67%-1.80%+0.79%-1.06%+0.26%-0.46%+1.80%-0.09%-0.14%-0.68%-2.32%-2.75%+0.37%-3.75%-1.63%-1.11%-3.44%+3.99%-1.58%-0.65%-0.04%-1.63%-0.94%+3.16%+5.09%+0.17%+3.56%-0.69%-1.38%+0.51%-2.39%-2.41%+1.92%-2.94%-1.75%-0.48%-2.86%+3.29%-1.63%-0.61%-0.64%-1.35%-1.77%+1.95%+4.99%-0.53%+3.71%+0.22%+0.42%-0.26%-2.40%+0.77%-1.63%+0.12%-0.94%+0.46%+1.27%+0.10%+2.12%-1.82%-0.86%-3.07%-0.07%-1.40%+1.08%+0.20%+3.70%+4.23%+0.80%-0.05%-2.50%-0.11%-1.25%-1.15%-1.70%-0.21%-0.66%+1.78%+0.06%-0.14%-0.98%-1.93%-0.05%-0.87%+1.36%-0.55%+2.74%+0.52%-0.39%-0.21%-2.75%-1.34%+0.69%-1.53%-2.13%-0.27%-1.21%+5.86%-0.70%+0.79%-0.82%+0.73%-2.82%-0.62%+4.72%+0.34%+2.62%+1.19%-0.77%-0.93%-3.12%-2.07%+2.16%-2.64%-1.45%-0.62%-2.36%+3.36%-1.34%+0.41%-0.98%-0.41%-1.68%-0.31%+2.86%+0.13%+3.11%+0.99%+0.58%-0.46%-3.16%+0.70%-1.37%-1.05%-2.35%+1.35%-1.63%-0.58%+1.54%+1.64%-1.21%-4.19%-0.70%-0.73%+1.55%-2.61%+1.33%-0.18%+0.22%-0.83%-3.57%
科创芯片半导体设备通信设备人工智能机器人消费电子光伏产业新能电池中证新能源有色金属电网设备证券公司中证医疗建筑材料房地产中证酒中证消费中证旅游中证银行红利指数稀土产业中证煤炭中证农业中证畜牧细分化工拥挤度上升,收盘价下跌5%~10%n=6涨66.7%跌33.3%10%~15%n=3涨66.7%跌33.3%15%~20%n=1涨0.0%跌100.0%20%~25%n=3涨33.3%跌66.7%25%~30%n=1涨0.0%跌100.0%拥挤度下降,收盘价上涨5%~10%n=5涨40.0%跌60.0%10%~15%n=5涨60.0%跌40.0%15%~20%n=7涨71.4%跌28.6%20%~25%n=1涨100.0%跌0.0%板块趋势科技分化板块拥挤度完整区间内,科创芯片、人工智能、半导体设备、机器人和消费电子的拥挤度较起点抬升,但通信设备、光伏、新能源、电池和稀土方向从高位回落,板块热度呈科技内部修复与资源新能源降温并存。人工智能、科创芯片、半导体设备和机器人从区间低位修复但仍明显低于各自前高,消费电子较起点增加却在末段回落;通信设备、光伏、新能源、电池和稀土接近各自区间低位,有色金属从低位略有修复。房地产在 9 月 23 日触及阶段高点后回落,板块之间的接力尚不均衡。资金趋势融资低位融资余额融资余额在完整区间内先扩张至高位,随后持续回落,最新有效值仅略高于区间低位,杠杆资金仍处于低位修复边缘。融资余额在区间中段升至高位后回撤,末段从低点小幅修复至中低分位;9 月 24 日融资余额缺失,当前以 9 月 23 日为最新有效数据,修复幅度仍不足以确认增量资金重新扩张。成交趋势量能反复市场成交额市场成交额在完整区间内冲高后回落,9月中旬触及区间低位后短暂修复,最新交易日再次回落,整体仍处于低活跃度区域。成交额在区间高点后经历较长收缩,9 月中旬触及低位,随后短暂回升并在 9 月 22 日恢复到两万亿元上方,9 月 23 日和 24 日连续回落。量能尚能支撑局部轮动,仍未形成稳定的放量修复。
拥挤度上升,收盘价下跌5%~10%n=6涨66.7%跌33.3%10%~15%n=3涨66.7%跌33.3%15%~20%n=1涨0.0%跌100.0%20%~25%n=3涨33.3%跌66.7%25%~30%n=1涨0.0%跌100.0%拥挤度下降,收盘价上涨5%~10%n=5涨40.0%跌60.0%10%~15%n=5涨60.0%跌40.0%15%~20%n=7涨71.4%跌28.6%20%~25%n=1涨100.0%跌0.0%